We predict the 2015 Oscar winners

February 23, 2015

The 87th Academy Awards officially ends the Awards season this Sunday and predicting the winners might be easier this time round as past award ceremonies are usually good indicators.

Check out our predictions of who might walk away with an Oscar in the main categories. Unfortunately, we’ve decided to exclude the technical categories as they’re difficult to predict and hence are only focusing on the main categories.

Featured below is a table with two columns, the first being the list of nominees with the predicted winner in bold. The second is a brief analysis of why will it win?

List of nominees (Predicted winner in bold)
Why will it win?

Best Picture

American Sniper

Birdman

Boyhood

The Grand Budapest Hotel

The Imitation Game

Selma

The Theory of Everything

Whiplash

It was initially thought that Boyhood would win Best Picture due to its Golden Globe, BAFTA and Critic’s Choice win. However, things took an unexpected turn when Birdman won a Screen Actors Guild (SAG), Producers Guild of America (PGA), Directors Guild of America (DGA) – all of which mainly include Academy members. So there’s no doubt that Birdman will walk away with the prize.

Best Director

Wes Anderson – The Grand Budapest Hotel

Alejandro González Iñárritu – Birdman

Richard Linklater – Boyhood

Bennett Miller – Foxcatcher

Morten Tyldum – The Imitation Game

The films of the last two Best Director recipients didn’t walk away with Best Picture. Last year, Alfonso Cuarón won Best Director for Gravity, but 12 Years a Slave walked away with Best Picture. Then the year before that, Ang Lee took Best Director for Life of Pi while Ben Affleck (who wasn’t even nominated for Best Director) claimed Best Picture for Argo. This year the Academy will likely give the Best Director prize to Linklater as the filmmaker took 12 years to craft Boyhood and there’s no doubt that the Academy will honour that.

Best Actor

Steve Carell – Foxcatcher

Bradley Cooper – American Sniper

Benedict Cumberbatch – The Imitation Game

Michael Keaton – Birdman

Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything

Redmayne gives a layered performance as Stephen Hawking and almost certainly deserves this accolade. He’s practically won every single award for his performance and his Oscar win is already set in stone, unless the Academy favours Birdman so much, that they give it to Michael Keaton instead.

Best Actress

Marion Cotillard – Two Days, One Night

Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything

Julianne Moore – Still Alice

Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl

Reese Witherspoon – Wild

Julianne Moore has the win in the bag because like Redmayne, she has swept the Best Actress win at basically every single award ceremony this year. Plus she’s the strongest contender as Jones’ performance in The Theory of Everything wasn’t particularly worthy of a nomination while Cotillard was only added into this category as a way for the Academy to snub Jennifer Aniston. While Witherspoon and Pike are strong contenders, both performances couldn’t reach the same heights as Moore’s .

Best Supporting Actor

Robert Duvall – The Judge

Ethan Hawke – Boyhood

Edward Norton – Birdman

Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher

J. K. Simmons – Whiplash

Playing a crazy, abusive and hardcore music instructor, J.K. Simmons unanimously deserves all the recognition and awards he’s been receiving.

Best Supporting Actress

Patricia Arquette – Boyhood

Laura Dern – Wild

Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game

Emma Stone – Birdman

Meryl Streep – Into the Woods

First of all, Dern and Knightly should not have been nominated, while Stone had way too little screen time to actually guarantee a win. Streep on the other hand practically owned Into the Woods despite only being a supporting player and is my personal choice to win. However, Arquette is already deemed the winner because like Redmayne and Moore, she’s won at almost every single award ceremony.

Best Animated Feature Film

Big Hero 6

The Boxtrolls

How to Train Your Dragon 2

Song of the Sea

The Tale of the Princess Kaguya

This one’s rather difficult to predict as The Lego Movie hands down deserves the trophy, but was unfortunately snubbed. How to Train Your Dragon 2 won a Golden Globe and an Annie while Lego won a PGA and a BAFTA. At this rate, it’s between Dragon and Big Hero 6, but with Dragon’s dark and mature themes, I’m guessing the Academy goes with Dragon.

Best Original Screenplay

Birdman – Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Jr. and Armando Bo

Boyhood – Richard Linklater

Foxcatcher – E. Max Frye and Dan Futterman

The Grand Budapest Hotel – Wes Anderson and Hugo Guinness

Nightcrawler – Dan Gilroy

Winning a Writers Guild of America (WGA) for Original Screenplay, Budapest Hotel will once again claim the prize at the Oscars as I’m sure most readers enjoyed its peculiar style.

Best Adapted Screenplay

American Sniper – Jason Hall from American Sniper by Chris Kyle, Scott McEwen and Jim DeFelice

The Imitation Game – Graham Moore from Alan Turing: The Enigma by Andrew Hodges

Inherent Vice – Paul Thomas Anderson from Inherent Vice by Thomas Pynchon

The Theory of Everything – Anthony McCarten from Travelling to Infinity: My Life with Stephen by Jane Wilde Hawking

Whiplash – Damien Chazelle from his short film of the same name

Winning a WGA in this category, The Imitation Game is poised to claim this prize.

Best Original Score

The Grand Budapest Hotel – Alexandre Desplat

The Imitation Game – Alexandre Desplat

Interstellar – Hans Zimmer

Mr. Turner – Gary Yershon

The Theory of Everything – Jóhann Jóhannsson

This one’s between Theory and Budapest, but because of the Academy’s love for the latter – nine nominations to be exact, I’m going with Budapest.

Best Original Song

Everything Is Awesome from The Lego Movie – Music and Lyric by Shawn Patterson

Glory from Selma – Music and Lyric by John Legend and Common

Grateful from Beyond the Lights – Music and Lyric by Diane Warren

I’m Not Gonna Miss You from Glen Campbell: I’ll Be Me – Music and Lyric by Glen Campbell and Julian Raymond

Lost Stars from Begin Again – Music and Lyric by Gregg Alexander and Danielle Brisebois

Despite Everything is Awesome’s catchy tune and chorus, most are feeling the love and glory from Selma, so why not the Academy?

Best Foreign Language Film

Ida (Poland) in Polish  – Paweł Pawlikowski

Leviathan (Russia) in Russian – Andrey Zvyagintsev

Tangerines (Estonia) in Estonian and Russian – Zaza Urushadze

Timbuktu (Mauritania) in French  – Abderrahmane Sissako

Wild Tales (Argentina) in Spanish  – Damián Szifrón

Hmm… Controversial Russian film Leviathan or Polish holocaust Ida. I’m guessing the Academy will play it safe and go for Ida.  

Best Documentary – Feature

Citizenfour – Laura Poitras, Mathilde Bonnefoy and Dirk Wilutsky

Finding Vivian Maier – John Maloof and Charlie Siskel

Last Days in Vietnam – Rory Kennedy and Keven McAlester

The Salt of the Earth – Wim Wenders, Lélia Wanick Salgado and David Rosier

Virunga – Orlando von Einsiedel and Joanna Natasegara

With the snubbing of Life Itself, Citizenfour is the next best thing, winning a DGA and a BAFTA.

Best Visual Effects

Captain America: The Winter Soldier – Dan DeLeeuw, Russell Earl, Bryan Grill and Dan Sudick

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes – Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Daniel Barrett and Erik Winquist

Guardians of the Galaxy – Stephane Ceretti, Nicolas Aithadi, Jonathan Fawkner and Paul Corbould

Interstellar – Paul Franklin, Andrew Lockley, Ian Hunter and Scott Fisher

X-Men: Days of Future Past – Richard Stammers, Lou Pecora, Tim Crosbie and Cameron Waldbauer

We all know that Interstellar’s visuals are out of this world, however, the Academy might just favour motion capture apes (Dawn of the Planet of the Apes) instead. But my gut is telling me Interstellar.

 

If you’re keen to see all the nominations, click here.

Catch the 87th Academy Awards on SA TV at 03.46am, Monday February 23, 2015 on MNet Movies Premiere (channel 103). If you’re looking for a more civilised hour to catch this prestigious awards show, then tune onto MNet (Channel 101) later that same day at 7:30pm.